If the 2012 Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney Michele Bachmann Rick Santorum Jon Huntsman Herman Cain Ron Paul Gary Johnson Rick Perry Undecided
Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row %
Iowa Potential Republican Electorate* 4% 23% 10% 2% 1% 16% 12% 1% 10% 20%
Tea Party Supporters 4% 16% 11% 2% 0% 27% 8% 1% 13% 17%
Intensity of Tea Party Support Strongly support Tea Party 2% 9% 10% 2% 0% 37% 10% 0% 14% 15%
Support Tea Party 4% 19% 12% 2% 1% 22% 8% 2% 12% 19%
Does not support Tea Party 5% 29% 8% 2% 2% 9% 16% 1% 9% 18%
Political Ideology Liberal-Moderate 4% 30% 12% 1% 3% 8% 11% 1% 9% 20%
Conservative 5% 20% 9% 2% 0% 20% 13% 1% 11% 18%
Past Participation** Yes 4% 23% 9% 4% 1% 21% 11% 1% 11% 16%
No 5% 23% 11% 0% 2% 13% 13% 1% 10% 22%
Candidate Support Strongly support 6% 22% 9% 1% 2% 29% 23% 1% 6% 0%
Somewhat support 6% 29% 18% 4% 0% 15% 10% 1% 17% 0%
Might vote differently 5% 36% 10% 1% 3% 15% 12% 2% 17% 0%
Most important quality in Republican presidential candidate Shares your values 3% 20% 13% 2% 0% 17% 8% 1% 12% 24%
Is closest to you on the issues 4% 17% 10% 1% 2% 16% 22% 2% 10% 16%
Can beat President Obama in 2012 9% 24% 10% 2% 0% 22% 6% 1% 14% 10%
Has the experience to govern 5% 38% 9% 0% 3% 11% 10% 0% 7% 18%
Gender Men 5% 23% 7% 2% 2% 19% 16% 1% 10% 15%
Women 4% 22% 13% 2% 1% 14% 8% 2% 10% 24%
Age Under 45 3% 24% 11% 1% 2% 14% 17% 1% 13% 14%
45 or older 5% 23% 10% 3% 1% 18% 8% 1% 9% 23%
Region Eastern Cities 5% 25% 8% 1% 1% 24% 11% 2% 13% 11%
East Central 2% 26% 12% 0% 0% 10% 14% 2% 9% 25%
Central 7% 21% 10% 3% 3% 15% 13% 1% 10% 15%
West 3% 19% 11% 2% 0% 17% 10% 0% 9% 28%
Household Income Less than $75,000 3% 24% 12% 2% 1% 16% 16% 1% 10% 15%
$75,000 or more 6% 24% 9% 2% 2% 18% 6% 2% 13% 18%
Evangelical Christians 6% 23% 12% 2% 0% 20% 10% 0% 13% 13%
Education Not college graduate 4% 24% 11% 1% 1% 15% 12% 1% 9% 22%
College graduate 6% 21% 9% 3% 1% 19% 12% 1% 12% 16%
Interview Type Landline 5% 24% 9% 2% 1% 19% 9% 1% 10% 21%
Cell Phone 3% 20% 13% 1% 3% 11% 19% 2% 11% 17%
NBC News/Marist Poll Iowa Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted October 3rd through 5th, 2011, N=873 MOE +/- 3.3%. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
*The potential Republican electorate in Iowa includes all Republicans and voters planning to participate in the Republican presidential caucus.
**Past participation refers to previous participation in an Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus.